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PETROLEUM SWAPPING BETWEEN OIL GIANTS - Part 4

Clearly, where oil rather than money is the indispensable medium of exchanges for a substantial volume of commerce, only those possessed both of ample and geographically dispersed resources of, as well as demands for, that esoteric medium will be in a position to enter the barter game on any substantial scale. The inevitable consequence of this is that the field of eligible barter participants is practically limited to the major integrated companies which boast dominant national positions in production, pipeline, transportation, and refining.

Only such colossi with geographically dispersed sources of, and demands for both crude and refined petroleum, and controlling the vital means of its transport, are genuinely situated to reap the full fruits of a continental barter system. And what is more, only those lesser enterprises (whether producers or refiners) fortunate enough to be able to achieve barter alliances with these colossi stand any genuine chance of survival at all. 

In all of this it appears reasonably certain that the burgeoning continental network of crude and products pipelines, owned and dominated by these major oil companies (either individually in varying combinations) has provided the indispensable linkage for integrating and effectuating this highly ramified barter-balancing system.

For given such a physically-closed continental pipeline grid with its manifold gathering, distribution and interconnection potentialities, it is obvious that the major integrated companies share an unrivaled opportunity to explore the mutual advantages of shunting and rationalizing, as between themselves, vast regional supply surpluses and deficits while avoiding any disturbance of oil prices (notably those critical crude prices upon which their profitability as integrated enterprises, ultimately depends).

In sum then, the dominant integrated powers in the United States oil industry appear to have evolved an effectual private supply/demand balancing system embracing on the one hand essentially monopolistic pipeline transport media, and on the other hand a continentally pervasive mechanism of barter which taken together, must inevitably have far-reaching restraining effects upon interstate commerce in petroleum.

Insofar as those major integrated companies and their pipelines account for the great bulk of interstate crude and product movements, the conclusion seems inescapable that but for the extensive barter arrangements existing between them, their normally recurring surpluses and their deficits would ultimately become prime movers and determinants of price in a genuinely dynamic market open to all comers (including non-integrated refiners, distributors, and brokers).

Conversely, where substantial volumes of crude and products are, in fact, regularly diverted from, and circumvent any market price mechanism in virtue of widespread barter among the industry�s principle oil producer-refiner-distributors, then it can surely be no exaggeration to infer a casual [sic causal] relationship between that condition and the prevailing thinness of spot markets and the relative rigidity of critical crude �benchmark� prices.

The fact that the Attorney General�s Compact reports to date have repeatedly remarked the existence of just such crude price rigidity, coupled with the above-outlined indications that pipelines and barter (i.e. exchanges) may be inextricably linked root elements contributing to that condition suggest the need for a comprehensive examination of the actual workings of this system and its effects upon interstate commerce in petroleum.

Cautionary Observations

In conclusion I would offer a brief caution to the uninitiated who would venture into the hybrid economic-legal domain of Exchanges: It is a complicated, multifaceted domain which needs be approached with care. Though I am not an academic economist, nevertheless, my eclectic interdisciplinary explorations have yielded special insights into this complexity. That experience convinces me that similar awareness is essential for the analyst intent on serious work in this field.

The following points are offered only to suggest the scope and complexity of this subject:

First, Exchanges needs to be understood both in detail and holistically.

o The exchange phenomenon is not just one thing or combination of independent things. It is a manifold of several interrelated elements, which must be clearly differentiated and then understood together in relationship to each other.

o Exchanges display considerable diversity: they appear in many different forms,  are utilized in many different situations, serve many different purposes, perform many different functions, and, hence, have many different consequences and effects.

o Typology suggestive of functional variety might involve some combination of the following:

(1) Industrial vs. Financial (e.g., Logistical vs. Tax)

(2) Strategic vs. Tactical

(3) Temporal vs. Spatial

(4) Long-term vs. Medium term vs. Short term

(5) Local vs. Regional vs. Interregional

(6) Domestic vs. International

(7) Crude Oil vs. Refined Products

(8) Storage terminal vs. Transportation terminal

(9) Bulk terminal vs. Wholesale distribution terminal

(10) Simple vs. Complex (i.e., two-party vs. multiparty, etc.)

Secondly, because this exchange issue is multi-dimensional, it needs to be approached

broadly from an interdisciplinary perspective.

o Relevant ECONOMIC Tools & Disciplines

Game theory

Regional Economics

Spatial Competition

Location theory

Logistics

Econometrics, model simulation

Operations research (linear programming)

Optimization theory

o Relevant LEGAL Areas

Reciprocity

Joint Venture

Market Sharing

Market Stabilization

Division of Territories/Markets

Shared Monopoly (Oligopoly, Oligopsyny)

Conscious Parallelism

Exclusive Dealing

Refusal to Deal

Tying Agreements

Requirements Contracts

Price Discrimination

Basing-Point Pricing

Foreclosure

Barriers to Entry

Vertical Integration

(End)